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Using the hypergeometric distribution, I calculated the probability of drawing a BVP in three different scenarios: drawing it in your initial hand, the first draw, or the first turn, supposing you have Irida in your deck
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BG has only one Outlast creature, so its worse at grinding out value and being flexible than GW, It tries to make up for this speed (its Unleash creatures force it to be the aggressor), but cards like Rakdos Drake and Dead Reveler just arent as powerful as what GW offers
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